Serie D badgeSerie D · 30 May 2026AI PICK

Sao Raimundo badgeSao RaimundovsGAS badgeGAS

4 - 0
Miss

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.5%
Market said
47.6%
Edge
+13.9 pts
Best odds
2.10

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.10

MediumEdge +13.9%
Our model61.5%
The market47.6%

The market underrated this by 13.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Sao Raimundo badge

Sao Raimundo

Attack80
Defence77
Form53
GAS badge

GAS

Attack54
Defence29
Form19

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +3.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market82.0%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
1.22

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +13.9%Miss
Our model61.5%
The market47.6%
Edge
+13.9
Odds
2.10

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +11.5%Correct
Our model61.5%
The market50.0%
Edge
+11.5
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Sao Raimundo (DNB)

Edge +0.9%Correct
Our model58.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+0.9
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Sao Raimundo Win

Correct
Our model50.3%
The market67.6%
Edge
-17.3
Odds
1.48

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Edge +1.3%Close
Our model9.8%
The market8.5%
Edge
+1.3
Odds
11.76

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.8%

1-0

9.6%

1-1

8.3%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.