Liga Profesional Argentina badgeLiga Profesional Argentina · 3 August 2026AI PICK

Sarmiento Junin badgeSarmiento JuninvsIndepend. Rivadavia badgeIndepend. Rivadavia

2 - 1
Miss

Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.6%
Market said
42.6%
Edge
+16.0 pts
Best odds
2.35

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Independ. Rivadavia Win

Match Winner · best price 2.35

MediumEdge +16.0%
Our model58.6%
The market42.6%

The market underrated this by 16.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Sarmiento Junin badge

Sarmiento Junin

Attack46
Defence33
Form36
Independ. Rivadavia badge

Independ. Rivadavia

Attack98
Defence59
Form74

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 5 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Miss
Our model74.8%
The market75.2%
Edge
-0.4
Odds
1.33

Draw No Bet

Independ. Rivadavia (DNB)

Edge +12.0%Miss
Our model69.1%
The market57.1%
Edge
+12.0
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Independ. Rivadavia Win

Edge +16.0%Miss
Our model58.6%
The market42.6%
Edge
+16.0
Odds
2.35

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +15.7%Correct
Our model53.8%
The market38.1%
Edge
+15.7
Odds
2.60

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +7.0%Correct
Our model53.1%
The market46.1%
Edge
+7.0
Odds
2.10

Correct Score

Score: 0-2

Miss
Our model10.0%
The market11.5%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
8.69

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-2

10.0%

1-1

11.3%

1-2

10.0%

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.