Serie D - Girone H badgeSerie D - Girone H · 26 April 2026AI PICK

Sarnese badgeSarnesevsFrancavilla badgeFrancavilla

2 - 2
Correct

Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.4%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+5.3 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +5.3%
Our model59.4%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 5.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Sarnese badge

Sarnese

Attack58
Defence43
Form40
Francavilla badge

Francavilla

Attack64
Defence51
Form47

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +5.3%Correct
Our model59.4%
The market54.1%
Edge
+5.3
Odds
1.85

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +10.9%Correct
Our model52.9%
The market42.0%
Edge
+10.9
Odds
2.38

Draw No Bet

Sarnese (DNB)

Our model50.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-7.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Sarnese Win

Our model39.8%
The market50.0%
Edge
-10.2
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.