Eliteserien badgeEliteserien · 16 August 2026AI PICK

Sarpsborg 08 FF badgeSarpsborg 08 FFvsSandefjord badgeSandefjord

1 - 2
Close

Full time · 0 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.7%
Market said
38.2%
Edge
+15.5 pts
Best odds
2.50

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.50

LowEdge +15.5%
Our model53.7%
The market38.2%

The market underrated this by 15.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Sarpsborg 08 FF badge

Sarpsborg 08 FF

Attack38
Defence50
Form43
Sandefjord badge

Sandefjord

Attack33
Defence54
Form36

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Miss
Our model72.1%
The market80.0%
Edge
-7.9
Odds
1.25

Draw No Bet

Sarpsborg 08 FF (DNB)

Miss
Our model55.4%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.7
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +15.5%Close
Our model53.7%
The market38.2%
Edge
+15.5
Odds
2.50

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +14.0%Miss
Our model52.8%
The market38.8%
Edge
+14.0
Odds
2.50

Match Winner

Sarpsborg 08 FF Win

Miss
Our model42.5%
The market57.1%
Edge
-14.6
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model11.3%
The market13.1%
Edge
-1.8
Odds
7.66

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

11.3%

1-1

14.7%

0-0

11.7%

We called 0 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.