Serie D - Girone D badgeSerie D - Girone D · 19 April 2026AI PICK

Sasso Marconi Zola badgeSasso Marconi ZolavsRovato Vertovese badgeRovato Vertovese

2 - 1
Close

Full time · 1 of 3 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
67.7%
Market said
54.6%
Edge
+13.1 pts
Best odds
1.83

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.83

MediumEdge +13.1%
Our model67.7%
The market54.6%

The market underrated this by 13.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Sasso Marconi Zola badge

Sasso Marconi Zola

Attack38
Defence38
Form22
Rovato Vertovese badge

Rovato Vertovese

Attack43
Defence100
Form60

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.6%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market79.4%
Edge
+5.6
Odds
1.26

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +13.1%Close
Our model67.7%
The market54.6%
Edge
+13.1
Odds
1.83

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +10.1%Miss
Our model58.9%
The market48.8%
Edge
+10.1
Odds
2.05

Draw No Bet

Sasso Marconi Zola (DNB)

Our model49.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-8.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Sasso Marconi Zola Win

Our model40.5%
The market50.0%
Edge
-9.5
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.