Coppa Italia badgeCoppa Italia · 2 September 2026AI PICK

Sassuolo badgeSassuolovsFrosinone badgeFrosinone

1 - 1
Close

Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.2%
Market said
51.0%
Edge
+10.2 pts
Best odds
1.96

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.96

MediumEdge +10.2%
Our model61.2%
The market51.0%

The market underrated this by 10.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Sassuolo badge

Sassuolo

Attack54
Defence46
Form42
Frosinone badge

Frosinone

Attack54
Defence85
Form58

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Miss
Our model75.9%
The market80.0%
Edge
-4.1
Odds
1.25

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +10.2%Close
Our model61.2%
The market51.0%
Edge
+10.2
Odds
1.96

Draw No Bet

Sassuolo (DNB)

Void
Our model56.9%
The market69.9%
Edge
-13.0
Odds
1.43

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model55.2%
The market55.2%
Edge
0.0
Odds
1.81

Match Winner

Sassuolo Win

Miss
Our model43.2%
The market55.6%
Edge
-12.4
Odds
1.80

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model8.7%
The market10.0%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
10.01

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.7%

1-1

10.9% · actual

1-2

7.7%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.