Serie A badgeSerie A · 17 May 2026AI PICK

Sassuolo badgeSassuolovsLecce badgeLecce

2 - 3
Miss

Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
68.2%
Market said
38.2%
Edge
+30.0 pts
Best odds
2.62

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Sassuolo Win

Match Winner · best price 2.62

MediumEdge +30.0%
Our model68.2%
The market38.2%

The market underrated this by 30.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Sassuolo badge

Sassuolo

Attack58
Defence50
Form58
Lecce badge

Lecce

Attack30
Defence48
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +11.5%
Our model85.0%
The market73.5%
Edge
+11.5
Odds
1.36

Match Winner

Sassuolo Win

Edge +30.0%Miss
Our model68.2%
The market38.2%
Edge
+30.0
Odds
2.62

Draw No Bet

Sassuolo (DNB)

Edge +4.9%Miss
Our model62.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+4.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.0%Miss
Our model59.6%
The market55.6%
Edge
+4.0
Odds
1.80

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model51.0%
The market55.6%
Edge
-4.6
Odds
1.80

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +2.4%Miss
Our model18.4%
The market16.0%
Edge
+2.4
Odds
6.26

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

18.4%

2-0

12.5%

1-1

9.9%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.