Saudi Arabiavs
Uruguay
1 - 1Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 73.1%
- Market said
- 55.6%
- Edge
- +17.5 pts
- Best odds
- 1.80
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.80
The market underrated this by 17.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Saudi Arabia
Uruguay
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 4 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +1.7
- Odds
- 1.20
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +17.5
- Odds
- 1.80
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- -0.2
- Odds
- 1.62
Draw No Bet
Saudi Arabia (DNB)
- Edge
- -7.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Saudi Arabia Win
- Edge
- +35.8
- Odds
- 7.50
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- +2.2
- Odds
- 6.81
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
16.9%
1-0
16.9%
0-0
14.5%
We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.