UEFA Europa League badgeUEFA Europa League · 20 May 2026AI PICK

SC Freiburg badgeSC FreiburgvsAston Villa badgeAston Villa

0 - 3
Correct

Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
75.3%
Market said
47.6%
Edge
+27.7 pts
Best odds
2.10

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.10

High confidenceEdge +27.7%
Our model75.3%
The market47.6%

The market underrated this by 27.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

SC Freiburg badge

SC Freiburg

Attack67
Defence47
Form52
Aston Villa badge

Aston Villa

Attack75
Defence50
Form58

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +27.7%Correct
Our model75.3%
The market47.6%
Edge
+27.7
Odds
2.10

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +18.0%Miss
Our model69.3%
The market51.3%
Edge
+18.0
Odds
1.95

Match Winner

SC Freiburg Win

Edge +35.9%Miss
Our model57.0%
The market21.1%
Edge
+35.9
Odds
4.75

Draw No Bet

SC Freiburg (DNB)

Miss
Our model50.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-7.1
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.