SC Freiburgvs
Werder Bremen
4 - 1Correct
Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 73.9%
- Market said
- 54.8%
- Edge
- +19.1 pts
- Best odds
- 1.83
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.83
High confidenceEdge +19.1%
Our model73.9%
The market54.8%
The market underrated this by 19.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
Every market we called
5 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
Edge +5.2%Correct
Our model80.4%
The market75.2%
- Edge
- +5.2
- Odds
- 1.33
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
Edge +19.1%Correct
Our model73.9%
The market54.8%
- Edge
- +19.1
- Odds
- 1.83
Draw No Bet
SC Freiburg (DNB)
Correct
Our model64.2%
The market64.5%
- Edge
- -0.3
- Odds
- 1.55
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
Correct
Our model51.8%
The market59.2%
- Edge
- -7.4
- Odds
- 1.62
Match Winner
SC Freiburg Win
Edge +3.5%Correct
Our model51.6%
The market48.1%
- Edge
- +3.5
- Odds
- 2.08
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.