Derde Divisie - Saturday badgeDerde Divisie - Saturday · 16 May 2026AI PICK

SC Genemuiden badgeSC GenemuidenvsDovo badgeDovo

2 - 6
Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
65.4%
Market said
52.6%
Edge
+12.8 pts
Best odds
1.90

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90

MediumEdge +12.8%
Our model65.4%
The market52.6%

The market underrated this by 12.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

SC Genemuiden badge

SC Genemuiden

Attack58
Defence74
Form64
Dovo badge

Dovo

Attack40
Defence70
Form56

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +13.6%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+13.6
Odds
1.40

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +12.8%Correct
Our model65.4%
The market52.6%
Edge
+12.8
Odds
1.90

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +9.3%Correct
Our model63.4%
The market54.1%
Edge
+9.3
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

SC Genemuiden Win

Edge +12.4%Miss
Our model62.4%
The market50.0%
Edge
+12.4
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

SC Genemuiden (DNB)

Edge +0.9%Miss
Our model58.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+0.9
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Edge +1.3%Miss
Our model9.6%
The market8.3%
Edge
+1.3
Odds
12.02

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.6%

1-0

8.4%

1-1

7.7%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.