National League - North badgeNational League - North · 18 August 2026AI PICK

Scarborough Athletic badgeScarborough AthleticvsSpennymoor Town badgeSpennymoor Town

3 - 0
Close

Full time · 1 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.4%
Market said
51.3%
Edge
+7.1 pts
Best odds
1.95

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.95

MediumEdge +7.1%
Our model58.4%
The market51.3%

The market underrated this by 7.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Scarborough Athletic badge

Scarborough Athletic

Attack22
Defence45
Form25
Spennymoor Town badge

Spennymoor Town

Attack55
Defence32
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +13.6%Miss
Our model75.3%
The market61.7%
Edge
+13.6
Odds
1.62

Draw No Bet

Spennymoor Town (DNB)

Edge +12.6%Miss
Our model69.7%
The market57.1%
Edge
+12.6
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +7.1%Close
Our model58.4%
The market51.3%
Edge
+7.1
Odds
1.95

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +3.2%Correct
Our model53.2%
The market50.0%
Edge
+3.2
Odds
2.00

Match Winner

Spennymoor Town Win

Edge +10.0%Miss
Our model42.3%
The market32.3%
Edge
+10.0
Odds
3.10

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Miss
Our model17.9%
The market20.6%
Edge
-2.7
Odds
4.85

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

17.9%

0-0

16.5%

1-1

13.2%

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.