Scarborough Athleticvs
Spennymoor Town
3 - 0Full time · 1 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 58.4%
- Market said
- 51.3%
- Edge
- +7.1 pts
- Best odds
- 1.95
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.95
The market underrated this by 7.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Scarborough Athletic
Spennymoor Town
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 5 right, 1 close
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- +13.6
- Odds
- 1.62
Draw No Bet
Spennymoor Town (DNB)
- Edge
- +12.6
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +7.1
- Odds
- 1.95
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +3.2
- Odds
- 2.00
Match Winner
Spennymoor Town Win
- Edge
- +10.0
- Odds
- 3.10
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- -2.7
- Odds
- 4.85
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
17.9%
0-0
16.5%
1-1
13.2%
We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.