First League badgeFirst League · 18 July 2026AI PICK

Septemvri Sofia badgeSeptemvri SofiavsArda Kardzhali badgeArda Kardzhali

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

We called
Under 2.5 Goals
Model confidence
55.8%
Markets called
2 of 3 right
Final score
1 - 1

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.62

MediumEdge -3.1%
Our model55.8%
The market58.9%

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

Every market we called

2 of 3 right

Draw No Bet

Septemvri Sofia (DNB)

Void
Our model56.8%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.3
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model55.8%
The market58.9%
Edge
-3.1
Odds
1.62

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +5.5%Correct
Our model55.3%
The market49.8%
Edge
+5.5
Odds
2.00

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model51.7%
The market59.9%
Edge
-8.2
Odds
1.67

Match Winner

Septemvri Sofia Win

Edge +13.2%Miss
Our model41.8%
The market28.6%
Edge
+13.2
Odds
3.50

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model9.0%
The market10.4%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.65

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

9.0%

1-1

14.5% · actual

0-0

9.9%

We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.