Septemvri Sofiavs
Arda Kardzhali
1 - 1Correct
Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off
- We called
- Under 2.5 Goals
- Model confidence
- 55.8%
- Markets called
- 2 of 3 right
- Final score
- 1 - 1
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.62
MediumEdge -3.1%
Our model55.8%
The market58.9%
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
Every market we called
2 of 3 right
Draw No Bet
Septemvri Sofia (DNB)
Void
Our model56.8%
The market57.1%
- Edge
- -0.3
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
Correct
Our model55.8%
The market58.9%
- Edge
- -3.1
- Odds
- 1.62
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
Edge +5.5%Correct
Our model55.3%
The market49.8%
- Edge
- +5.5
- Odds
- 2.00
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
Our model51.7%
The market59.9%
- Edge
- -8.2
- Odds
- 1.67
Match Winner
Septemvri Sofia Win
Edge +13.2%Miss
Our model41.8%
The market28.6%
- Edge
- +13.2
- Odds
- 3.50
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
Miss
Our model9.0%
The market10.4%
- Edge
- -1.4
- Odds
- 9.65
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
9.0%
1-1
14.5% · actual
0-0
9.9%
We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.