First League badgeFirst League · 4 September 2026AI PICK

Septemvri Sofia badgeSeptemvri SofiavsBotev Vratsa badgeBotev Vratsa

2 - 3
Miss

Full time · 0 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
86.7%
Market said
40.7%
Edge
+46.0 pts
Best odds
2.46

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Septemvri Sofia Win

Match Winner · best price 2.46

High confidenceEdge +46.0%
Our model86.7%
The market40.7%

The market underrated this by 46.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Septemvri Sofia badge

Septemvri Sofia

Attack37
Defence45
Form38
Botev Vratsa badge

Botev Vratsa

Attack31
Defence45
Form36

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 5 right

Draw No Bet

Septemvri Sofia (DNB)

Edge +39.7%Miss
Our model93.8%
The market54.1%
Edge
+39.7
Odds
1.85

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +17.5%Miss
Our model90.0%
The market72.5%
Edge
+17.5
Odds
1.38

Match Winner

Septemvri Sofia Win

Edge +46.0%Miss
Our model86.7%
The market40.7%
Edge
+46.0
Odds
2.46

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.8%Miss
Our model61.2%
The market59.4%
Edge
+1.8
Odds
1.62

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +1.4%Miss
Our model54.6%
The market53.2%
Edge
+1.4
Odds
1.82

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model13.1%
The market15.1%
Edge
-2.0
Odds
6.61

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

13.1%

0-0

15.3%

1-1

15.1%

We called 0 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.