First League badgeFirst League · 9 August 2026AI PICK

Septemvri Sofia badgeSeptemvri SofiavsCSKA Sofia badgeCSKA Sofia

0 - 3
Miss

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.6%
Market said
49.6%
Edge
+5.0 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.00

LowEdge +5.0%
Our model54.6%
The market49.6%

The market underrated this by 5.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Septemvri Sofia badge

Septemvri Sofia

Attack45
Defence35
Form33
CSKA Sofia badge

CSKA Sofia

Attack80
Defence47
Form79

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Correct
Our model72.7%
The market87.7%
Edge
-15.0
Odds
1.14

Draw No Bet

CSKA Sofia (DNB)

Edge +12.9%Correct
Our model70.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+12.9
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +5.0%Miss
Our model54.6%
The market49.6%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
2.00

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +5.0%Correct
Our model54.5%
The market49.5%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.95

Match Winner

CSKA Sofia Win

Correct
Our model51.7%
The market64.5%
Edge
-12.8
Odds
1.55

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Close
Our model9.8%
The market11.3%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
8.88

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.8%

1-1

11.6%

0-2

8.2%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.