First League badgeFirst League · 22 May 2026AI PICK

Septemvri Sofia badgeSeptemvri SofiavsDobrudzha badgeDobrudzha

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 1 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
67.7%
Market said
50.8%
Edge
+16.9 pts
Best odds
1.97

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.97

MediumEdge +16.9%
Our model67.7%
The market50.8%

The market underrated this by 16.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Septemvri Sofia badge

Septemvri Sofia

Attack32
Defence46
Form38
Dobrudzha badge

Dobrudzha

Attack29
Defence44
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Our model85.0%
The market88.5%
Edge
-3.5
Odds
1.13

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +16.9%Correct
Our model67.7%
The market50.8%
Edge
+16.9
Odds
1.97

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +6.7%Miss
Our model65.5%
The market58.8%
Edge
+6.7
Odds
1.70

Draw No Bet

Septemvri Sofia (DNB)

Void
Our model53.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-4.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Septemvri Sofia Win

Edge +1.6%Miss
Our model43.4%
The market41.8%
Edge
+1.6
Odds
2.39

Correct Score

Score: 0-0

Edge +2.6%Miss
Our model20.4%
The market17.8%
Edge
+2.6
Odds
5.63

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-0

20.4%

1-0

19.7%

0-1

17.5%

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.