First League badgeFirst League · 1 May 2026AI PICK

Septemvri Sofia badgeSeptemvri SofiavsMontana badgeMontana

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 1 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
93.7%
Market said
61.7%
Edge
+32.0 pts
Best odds
1.62

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.62

High confidenceEdge +32.0%
Our model93.7%
The market61.7%

The market underrated this by 32.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Septemvri Sofia badge

Septemvri Sofia

Attack26
Defence35
Form29
Montana badge

Montana

Attack9
Defence48
Form13

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +32.0%Correct
Our model93.7%
The market61.7%
Edge
+32.0
Odds
1.62

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.3%
Our model85.0%
The market78.7%
Edge
+6.3
Odds
1.27

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +16.4%Miss
Our model75.2%
The market58.8%
Edge
+16.4
Odds
1.70

Draw No Bet

Septemvri Sofia (DNB)

Edge +11.9%Void
Our model69.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+11.9
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Septemvri Sofia Win

Edge +7.5%Miss
Our model57.5%
The market50.0%
Edge
+7.5
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.