First League badgeFirst League · 16 April 2026AI PICK

Septemvri Sofia badgeSeptemvri SofiavsSpartak Varna badgeSpartak Varna

0 - 0
Miss

Full time · 1 of 2 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.2%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+3.2 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Septemvri Sofia Win

Match Winner · best price 2.00

LowEdge +3.2%
Our model53.2%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 3.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Double chance : Septemvri Sofia or draw

How the two sides compared

Septemvri Sofia badge

Septemvri Sofia

Attack50
Defence0
Form27
Spartak Varna badge

Spartak Varna

Attack50
Defence0
Form20

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 2 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model70.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
1.40

Match Winner

Septemvri Sofia Win

Edge +3.2%Miss
Our model53.2%
The market50.0%
Edge
+3.2
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Septemvri Sofia (DNB)

Void
Our model35.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-22.1
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.