First League · 14 May 2026AI PICK
Septemvri Sofiavs
Spartak Varna
1 - 0Full time · 3 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 66.8%
- Market said
- 61.3%
- Edge
- +5.5 pts
- Best odds
- 1.63
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectBoth Teams To Score: No
Both Teams To Score · best price 1.63
The market underrated this by 5.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Septemvri Sofia
Spartak Varna
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 3 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +7.5
- Odds
- 1.29
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +5.5
- Odds
- 1.63
Draw No Bet
Septemvri Sofia (DNB)
- Edge
- -5.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Septemvri Sofia Win
- Edge
- -12.6
- Odds
- 1.70
Correct Score
Score: 0-0
- Edge
- +2.9
- Odds
- 5.03
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-0
22.8%
0-1
19.1%
1-0
19.1% · actual
We called 3 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.