Serie D · 23 May 2026AI PICK
Sergipevs
Treze
0 - 1Full time · 1 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 65.7%
- Market said
- 44.4%
- Edge
- +21.3 pts
- Best odds
- 2.25
The call, locked before kick-off
MissOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.25
The market underrated this by 21.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Sergipe
Treze
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +8.1
- Odds
- 1.30
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +21.3
- Odds
- 2.25
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +15.0
- Odds
- 2.00
Match Winner
Sergipe Win
- Edge
- +7.8
- Odds
- 2.10
Draw No Bet
Sergipe (DNB)
- Edge
- -8.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Correct Score
Score: 1-1
- Edge
- +1.1
- Odds
- 14.03
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-1
8.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
8.2%
We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.