Serie D badgeSerie D · 4 July 2026AI PICK

Serra Branca badgeSerra BrancavsUberlandia badgeUberlandia

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.1%
Market said
40.0%
Edge
+13.1 pts
Best odds
2.50

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.50

LowEdge +13.1%
Our model53.1%
The market40.0%

The market underrated this by 13.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Serra Branca badge

Serra Branca

Attack51
Defence73
Form56
Uberlandia badge

Uberlandia

Attack61
Defence59
Form60

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model71.6%
The market76.9%
Edge
-5.3
Odds
1.30

Draw No Bet

Uberlandia (DNB)

Edge +2.7%Correct
Our model59.8%
The market57.1%
Edge
+2.7
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +13.1%Miss
Our model53.1%
The market40.0%
Edge
+13.1
Odds
2.50

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +6.5%Miss
Our model52.0%
The market45.5%
Edge
+6.5
Odds
2.20

Match Winner

Uberlandia Win

Edge +6.1%Correct
Our model36.4%
The market30.3%
Edge
+6.1
Odds
3.30

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model8.6%
The market9.9%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
10.15

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.6%

1-1

13.8%

0-0

8.3%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.