First NL badgeFirst NL · 22 May 2026AI PICK

Sesvete badgeSesvetevsBsk Bijelo Brdo badgeBsk Bijelo Brdo

2 - 1
Close

Full time · 3 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
68.6%
Market said
55.6%
Edge
+13.0 pts
Best odds
1.80

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.80

MediumEdge +13.0%
Our model68.6%
The market55.6%

The market underrated this by 13.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Sesvete badge

Sesvete

Attack76
Defence66
Form69
Bsk Bijelo Brdo badge

Bsk Bijelo Brdo

Attack26
Defence78
Form44

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Our model85.0%
The market89.3%
Edge
-4.3
Odds
1.12

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +13.0%Close
Our model68.6%
The market55.6%
Edge
+13.0
Odds
1.80

Draw No Bet

Sesvete (DNB)

Edge +10.9%Correct
Our model68.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+10.9
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Sesvete Win

Correct
Our model58.9%
The market80.0%
Edge
-21.1
Odds
1.25

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model45.0%
The market54.1%
Edge
-9.1
Odds
1.85

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +2.2%Miss
Our model17.0%
The market14.8%
Edge
+2.2
Odds
6.76

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

17.0%

2-0

14.8%

3-0

9.4%

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.