First NL badgeFirst NL · 28 August 2026AI PICK

Sesvete badgeSesvetevsDugopolje badgeDugopolje

1 - 2
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.2%
Market said
44.1%
Edge
+14.1 pts
Best odds
2.27

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.27

MediumEdge +14.1%
Our model58.2%
The market44.1%

The market underrated this by 14.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Sesvete badge

Sesvete

Attack47
Defence35
Form48
Dugopolje badge

Dugopolje

Attack87
Defence69
Form73

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%
Our model83.7%
The market78.7%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.27

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +14.1%Correct
Our model58.2%
The market44.1%
Edge
+14.1
Odds
2.27

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.7%Correct
Our model52.5%
The market51.8%
Edge
+0.7
Odds
1.93

Draw No Bet

Sesvete (DNB)

Miss
Our model50.1%
The market57.8%
Edge
-7.7
Odds
1.73

Match Winner

Sesvete Win

Miss
Our model41.9%
The market44.8%
Edge
-2.9
Odds
2.23

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Correct
Our model9.1%
The market10.5%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.52

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.1% · actual

1-1

8.6%

1-3

7.3%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.