First NL badgeFirst NL · 21 August 2026AI PICK

Sesvete badgeSesvetevsKarlovac 1919 badgeKarlovac 1919

3 - 0
Miss

Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.8%
Market said
47.6%
Edge
+6.2 pts
Best odds
2.10

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.10

LowEdge +6.2%
Our model53.8%
The market47.6%

The market underrated this by 6.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

Every market we called

2 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Our model78.5%
The market80.0%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
1.25

Draw No Bet

Sesvete (DNB)

Correct
Our model61.5%
The market65.4%
Edge
-3.9
Odds
1.53

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +6.2%Miss
Our model53.8%
The market47.6%
Edge
+6.2
Odds
2.10

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.1%Close
Our model53.7%
The market52.6%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
1.90

Match Winner

Sesvete Win

Correct
Our model48.3%
The market52.4%
Edge
-4.1
Odds
1.91

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Miss
Our model9.9%
The market11.3%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
8.82

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

9.9%

1-1

14.3%

0-0

9.9%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.