First NL badgeFirst NL · 5 September 2026AI PICK

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2 - 0
Close

Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.6%
Market said
48.8%
Edge
+9.8 pts
Best odds
2.05

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.05

MediumEdge +9.8%
Our model58.6%
The market48.8%

The market underrated this by 9.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Sesvete badge

Sesvete

Attack43
Defence36
Form42
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Segesta Sisak

Attack100
Defence99
Form70

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +2.2%
Our model80.9%
The market78.7%
Edge
+2.2
Odds
1.27

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.8%Close
Our model58.6%
The market48.8%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
2.05

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model53.3%
The market55.9%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.79

Draw No Bet

Sesvete (DNB)

Correct
Our model50.1%
The market54.9%
Edge
-4.8
Odds
1.82

Match Winner

Sesvete Win

Correct
Our model40.5%
The market42.9%
Edge
-2.4
Odds
2.33

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.