La Liga badgeLa Liga · 29 August 2026AI PICK

Sevilla badgeSevillavsAtletico Madrid badgeAtletico Madrid

1 - 3
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.2%
Market said
49.7%
Edge
+8.5 pts
Best odds
1.99

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.99

MediumEdge +8.5%
Our model58.2%
The market49.7%

The market underrated this by 8.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Sevilla badge

Sevilla

Attack64
Defence67
Form75
Atletico Madrid badge

Atletico Madrid

Attack85
Defence39
Form56

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +0.2%Correct
Our model74.8%
The market74.6%
Edge
+0.2
Odds
1.34

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.5%Correct
Our model58.2%
The market49.7%
Edge
+8.5
Odds
1.99

Draw No Bet

Atletico Madrid (DNB)

Correct
Our model56.3%
The market62.9%
Edge
-6.6
Odds
1.59

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model53.9%
The market55.4%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
1.72

Match Winner

Atletico Madrid Win

Correct
Our model42.1%
The market46.3%
Edge
-4.2
Odds
2.16

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Close
Our model8.5%
The market9.7%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
10.28

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.5%

1-1

9.6%

2-1

7.2%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.