Sevillavs
Rayo Vallecano
2 - 1Close
Full time · 3 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- We called
- Under 2.5 Goals
- Model confidence
- 53.7%
- Markets called
- 3 of 4 right, 1 close
- Final score
- 2 - 1
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.62
LowEdge -5.4%
Our model53.7%
The market59.1%
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
Every market we called
3 of 4 right, 1 close
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
Our model69.8%
The market75.2%
- Edge
- -5.4
- Odds
- 1.33
Draw No Bet
Sevilla (DNB)
Correct
Our model55.4%
The market57.1%
- Edge
- -1.7
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
Close
Our model53.7%
The market59.1%
- Edge
- -5.4
- Odds
- 1.62
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
Edge +3.1%Correct
Our model52.8%
The market49.7%
- Edge
- +3.1
- Odds
- 1.95
Match Winner
Sevilla Win
Correct
Our model43.1%
The market45.5%
- Edge
- -2.4
- Odds
- 2.20
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
Our model8.2%
The market9.4%
- Edge
- -1.2
- Odds
- 10.65
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
8.2% · actual
1-1
14.2%
0-0
9.1%
We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.