Regionalliga - SudWest badgeRegionalliga - SudWest · 15 August 2026AI PICK

SGV Freiberg badgeSGV FreibergvsFC 08 Homburg badgeFC 08 Homburg

3 - 0
Correct

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
62.2%
Market said
52.6%
Edge
+9.6 pts
Best odds
1.90

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90

MediumEdge +9.6%
Our model62.2%
The market52.6%

The market underrated this by 9.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

SGV Freiberg badge

SGV Freiberg

Attack84
Defence32
Form44
FC 08 Homburg badge

FC 08 Homburg

Attack76
Defence54
Form73

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +3.9%Correct
Our model75.3%
The market71.4%
Edge
+3.9
Odds
1.40

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.6%Correct
Our model62.2%
The market52.6%
Edge
+9.6
Odds
1.90

Draw No Bet

SGV Freiberg (DNB)

Edge +4.9%Correct
Our model62.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+4.9
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

SGV Freiberg Win

Edge +1.7%Correct
Our model51.7%
The market50.0%
Edge
+1.7
Odds
2.00

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model50.0%
The market54.1%
Edge
-4.1
Odds
1.85

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.