Regionalliga - SudWest badgeRegionalliga - SudWest · 25 April 2026AI PICK

SGV Freiberg badgeSGV FreibergvsFSV Mainz 05 II badgeFSV Mainz 05 II

1 - 2
Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
62.9%
Market said
61.7%
Edge
+1.2 pts
Best odds
1.62

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.62

MediumEdge +1.2%
Our model62.9%
The market61.7%

The market underrated this by 1.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

SGV Freiberg badge

SGV Freiberg

Attack49
Defence97
Form62
FSV Mainz 05 II badge

FSV Mainz 05 II

Attack41
Defence64
Form44

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model85.0%
The market85.5%
Edge
-0.5
Odds
1.17

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +1.2%Correct
Our model62.9%
The market61.7%
Edge
+1.2
Odds
1.62

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model61.7%
The market63.7%
Edge
-2.0
Odds
1.57

Draw No Bet

SGV Freiberg (DNB)

Miss
Our model55.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-2.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

SGV Freiberg Win

Edge +0.3%Miss
Our model50.3%
The market50.0%
Edge
+0.3
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.