Shakhtar Donetskvs
Polessya
1 - 0Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 73.8%
- Market said
- 51.0%
- Edge
- +22.8 pts
- Best odds
- 1.96
The call, locked before kick-off
MissOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.96
The market underrated this by 22.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Shakhtar Donetsk
Polessya
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +4.4
- Odds
- 1.24
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +22.8
- Odds
- 1.96
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +18.0
- Odds
- 1.98
Match Winner
Shakhtar Donetsk Win
- Edge
- +7.0
- Odds
- 2.00
Draw No Bet
Shakhtar Donetsk (DNB)
- Edge
- -4.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.