Super League badgeSuper League · 16 May 2026AI PICK

Shandong Luneng badgeShandong LunengvsChongqing Tongliang Long badgeChongqing Tongliang Long

3 - 1
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
62.9%
Market said
55.6%
Edge
+7.3 pts
Best odds
1.80

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.80

MediumEdge +7.3%
Our model62.9%
The market55.6%

The market underrated this by 7.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Shandong Luneng badge

Shandong Luneng

Attack56
Defence51
Form61
Chongqing Tongliang Long badge

Chongqing Tongliang Long

Attack46
Defence81
Form61

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.25

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +7.3%Correct
Our model62.9%
The market55.6%
Edge
+7.3
Odds
1.80

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +6.1%Correct
Our model61.7%
The market55.6%
Edge
+6.1
Odds
1.80

Match Winner

Shandong Luneng Win

Correct
Our model59.7%
The market65.4%
Edge
-5.7
Odds
1.53

Draw No Bet

Shandong Luneng (DNB)

Correct
Our model55.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-2.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Edge +1.2%
Our model9.2%
The market8.0%
Edge
+1.2
Odds
12.44

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.2%

1-0

8.9%

1-1

8.7%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.