UEFA Europa League badgeUEFA Europa League · 9 July 2026AI PICK

Sheriff Tiraspol badgeSheriff TiraspolvsAluminij badgeAluminij

0 - 0
Correct

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.9%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+1.8 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +1.8%
Our model55.9%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 1.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Sheriff Tiraspol badge

Sheriff Tiraspol

Attack50
Defence50
Form50
Aluminij badge

Aluminij

Attack29
Defence40
Form8

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Draw No Bet

Sheriff Tiraspol (DNB)

Edge +27.4%Void
Our model84.5%
The market57.1%
Edge
+27.4
Odds
1.75

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model74.2%
The market94.3%
Edge
-20.1
Odds
1.06

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.8%Correct
Our model55.9%
The market54.1%
Edge
+1.8
Odds
1.85

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Correct
Our model53.0%
The market63.7%
Edge
-10.7
Odds
1.57

Match Winner

Sheriff Tiraspol Win

Miss
Our model44.4%
The market72.5%
Edge
-28.1
Odds
1.38

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model12.0%
The market13.8%
Edge
-1.8
Odds
7.23

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

12.0%

1-1

13.9%

0-0

10.7% · actual

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.