First League badgeFirst League · 19 July 2026AI PICK

Shinnik Yaroslavl badgeShinnik YaroslavlvsLeningradets badgeLeningradets

2 - 0
Correct

Full time · 4 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
76.5%
Market said
49.3%
Edge
+27.2 pts
Best odds
2.03

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Shinnik Yaroslavl Win

Match Winner · best price 2.03

High confidenceEdge +27.2%
Our model76.5%
The market49.3%

The market underrated this by 27.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Shinnik Yaroslavl badge

Shinnik Yaroslavl

Attack62
Defence100
Form73
Leningradets badge

Leningradets

Attack16
Defence35
Form22

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right, 1 close

Draw No Bet

Shinnik Yaroslavl (DNB)

Edge +33.2%Correct
Our model90.3%
The market57.1%
Edge
+33.2
Odds
1.75

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +10.0%Correct
Our model90.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
+10.0
Odds
1.25

Match Winner

Shinnik Yaroslavl Win

Edge +27.2%Correct
Our model76.5%
The market49.3%
Edge
+27.2
Odds
2.03

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +4.3%Correct
Our model57.7%
The market53.4%
Edge
+4.3
Odds
1.81

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +11.7%Close
Our model55.8%
The market44.1%
Edge
+11.7
Odds
2.20

Correct Score

Score: 2-0

Correct
Our model16.4%
The market18.8%
Edge
-2.4
Odds
5.31

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-0

16.4% · actual

1-0

13.9%

3-0

12.0%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.