First League badgeFirst League · 5 September 2026AI PICK

Shinnik Yaroslavl badgeShinnik YaroslavlvsRotor Volgograd badgeRotor Volgograd

2 - 2
Correct

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.6%
Market said
43.7%
Edge
+10.9 pts
Best odds
2.20

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.20

LowEdge +10.9%
Our model54.6%
The market43.7%

The market underrated this by 10.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Shinnik Yaroslavl badge

Shinnik Yaroslavl

Attack63
Defence80
Form64
Rotor Volgograd badge

Rotor Volgograd

Attack43
Defence46
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +8.1%Correct
Our model77.1%
The market69.0%
Edge
+8.1
Odds
1.45

Draw No Bet

Shinnik Yaroslavl (DNB)

Edge +20.3%Void
Our model68.6%
The market48.3%
Edge
+20.3
Odds
2.07

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +10.9%Correct
Our model54.6%
The market43.7%
Edge
+10.9
Odds
2.20

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +18.2%Correct
Our model54.6%
The market36.4%
Edge
+18.2
Odds
2.65

Match Winner

Shinnik Yaroslavl Win

Edge +16.1%Miss
Our model50.0%
The market33.9%
Edge
+16.1
Odds
2.95

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.7%
The market11.2%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
8.96

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.7%

1-1

12.2%

2-0

8.1%

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.