Cup badgeCup · 29 July 2026AI PICK

SKA Rostov badgeSKA RostovvsZenit Penza badgeZenit Penza

2 - 2
Miss

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.5%
Market said
33.7%
Edge
+21.8 pts
Best odds
2.97

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.97

MediumEdge +21.8%
Our model55.5%
The market33.7%

The market underrated this by 21.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

SKA Rostov badge

SKA Rostov

Attack50
Defence50
Form50
Zenit Penza badge

Zenit Penza

Attack36
Defence34
Form29

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +1.6%Correct
Our model73.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+1.6
Odds
1.40

Draw No Bet

SKA Rostov (DNB)

Void
Our model56.1%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.0
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +21.8%Miss
Our model55.5%
The market33.7%
Edge
+21.8
Odds
2.97

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model54.2%
The market57.5%
Edge
-3.3
Odds
1.74

Match Winner

SKA Rostov Win

Miss
Our model43.6%
The market82.6%
Edge
-39.0
Odds
1.21

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model9.6%
The market11.0%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.10

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

9.6%

1-1

13.9%

2-1

9.2%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.