SKA Rostovvs
Zenit Penza
2 - 2Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 55.5%
- Market said
- 33.7%
- Edge
- +21.8 pts
- Best odds
- 2.97
The call, locked before kick-off
MissUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.97
The market underrated this by 21.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
SKA Rostov
Zenit Penza
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- +1.6
- Odds
- 1.40
Draw No Bet
SKA Rostov (DNB)
- Edge
- -1.0
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +21.8
- Odds
- 2.97
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -3.3
- Odds
- 1.74
Match Winner
SKA Rostov Win
- Edge
- -39.0
- Odds
- 1.21
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- -1.4
- Odds
- 9.10
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
9.6%
1-1
13.9%
2-1
9.2%
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.