1. Division badge1. Division · 25 July 2026AI PICK

Smorgon badgeSmorgonvsGomel II badgeGomel II

2 - 0
Miss

Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.2%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+7.1 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +7.1%
Our model61.2%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 7.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Smorgon badge

Smorgon

Attack55
Defence51
Form36
Gomel II badge

Gomel II

Attack47
Defence58
Form38

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right, 1 close

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +7.1%Miss
Our model61.2%
The market54.1%
Edge
+7.1
Odds
1.85

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +6.2%Close
Our model58.8%
The market52.6%
Edge
+6.2
Odds
1.90

Draw No Bet

Smorgon (DNB)

Correct
Our model54.5%
The market57.1%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.75

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model51.7%
The market71.4%
Edge
-19.7
Odds
1.40

Match Winner

Smorgon Win

Correct
Our model42.8%
The market50.0%
Edge
-7.2
Odds
2.00

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Close
Our model9.1%
The market10.5%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.55

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.1%

1-1

10.3%

1-2

6.8%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.