1. Division badge1. Division · 31 May 2026AI PICK

Smorgon badgeSmorgonvsLida badgeLida

4 - 4
Correct

Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.3%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+7.2 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +7.2%
Our model61.3%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 7.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Smorgon badge

Smorgon

Attack41
Defence48
Form33
Lida badge

Lida

Attack53
Defence37
Form44

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +13.6%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+13.6
Odds
1.40

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +7.2%Correct
Our model61.3%
The market54.1%
Edge
+7.2
Odds
1.85

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.9%Correct
Our model57.5%
The market52.6%
Edge
+4.9
Odds
1.90

Draw No Bet

Smorgon (DNB)

Our model47.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-10.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Smorgon Win

Our model41.6%
The market50.0%
Edge
-8.4
Odds
2.00

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.2%
Our model9.6%
The market8.4%
Edge
+1.2
Odds
11.93

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

9.6%

1-1

9.5%

1-2

8.9%

We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.