1. Division badge1. Division · 5 July 2026AI PICK

Smorgon badgeSmorgonvsVolna badgeVolna

1 - 3
Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.0%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+2.9 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +2.9%
Our model57.0%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 2.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Smorgon badge

Smorgon

Attack52
Defence50
Form36
Volna badge

Volna

Attack52
Defence50
Form51

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +0.2%Correct
Our model71.6%
The market71.4%
Edge
+0.2
Odds
1.40

Draw No Bet

Smorgon (DNB)

Edge +2.7%Miss
Our model59.8%
The market57.1%
Edge
+2.7
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +2.9%Correct
Our model57.0%
The market54.1%
Edge
+2.9
Odds
1.85

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +2.5%Correct
Our model55.1%
The market52.6%
Edge
+2.5
Odds
1.90

Match Winner

Smorgon Win

Miss
Our model41.1%
The market50.0%
Edge
-8.9
Odds
2.00

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Our model8.4%
The market9.6%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
10.41

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.4%

1-1

10.5%

1-2

7.9%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.