Division Intermedia · 2 August 2026AI PICK

SOL DE AmericavsIndependiente F.b.c.

1 - 1

Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 53.8%
Market said: 46.5%
Edge: +7.3 pts
Best odds: 2.15

The call, locked before kick-off

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.15

LowEdge +7.3%

Our model53.8%

The market46.5%

The market underrated this by 7.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

SOL DE America

Attack47

Defence74

Form51

Independiente F.b.c.

Attack57

Defence46

Form44

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Miss

Our model74.8%

The market78.1%

Edge: -3.3
Odds: 1.28

Draw No Bet

Independiente F.b.c. (DNB)

Void

Our model56.2%

The market57.1%

Edge: -0.9
Odds: 1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +7.3%Close

Our model53.8%

The market46.5%

Edge: +7.3
Odds: 2.15

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct

Our model53.1%

The market54.1%

Edge: -1.0
Odds: 1.85

Match Winner

Independiente F.b.c. Win

Edge +4.4%Miss

Our model33.8%

The market29.4%

Edge: +4.4
Odds: 3.40

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss

Our model8.9%

The market10.2%

Edge: -1.3
Odds: 9.76

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.9%

1-1

13.4% · actual

2-1

7.7%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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