Serie D · 23 May 2026AI PICK
Sousavs
Central SC
0 - 0Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 72.5%
- Market said
- 69.4%
- Edge
- +3.1 pts
- Best odds
- 1.44
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.44
The market underrated this by 3.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Sousa
Central SC
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +9.8
- Odds
- 1.33
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +3.1
- Odds
- 1.44
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- -1.5
- Odds
- 1.62
Draw No Bet
Sousa (DNB)
- Edge
- -5.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Sousa Win
- Edge
- -2.2
- Odds
- 2.25
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- +2.2
- Odds
- 6.77
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
17.0%
0-1
15.5%
0-0
12.9% · actual
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.