Australia Cup badgeAustralia Cup · 30 July 2026AI PICK

South Melbourne badgeSouth MelbournevsAdelaide United badgeAdelaide United

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

We called
Over 2.5 Goals
Model confidence
57.4%
Markets called
5 of 5 right
Final score
2 - 1

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.62

MediumEdge -3.0%
Our model57.4%
The market60.4%

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

South Melbourne badge

South Melbourne

Attack60
Defence43
Form51
Adelaide United badge

Adelaide United

Attack50
Defence50
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +17.0%Correct
Our model74.8%
The market57.8%
Edge
+17.0
Odds
1.73

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model57.4%
The market60.4%
Edge
-3.0
Odds
1.62

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model57.2%
The market62.3%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
1.57

Draw No Bet

South Melbourne (DNB)

Correct
Our model53.3%
The market57.1%
Edge
-3.8
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

South Melbourne Win

Edge +17.2%Correct
Our model49.5%
The market32.3%
Edge
+17.2
Odds
3.10

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Correct
Our model9.8%
The market11.3%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
8.85

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.8% · actual

1-1

11.1%

2-0

8.2%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.