Championship badgeChampionship · 21 April 2026AI PICK

Southampton badgeSouthamptonvsBristol City badgeBristol City

2 - 2
Correct

Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
68.0%
Market said
59.9%
Edge
+8.1 pts
Best odds
1.67

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.67

MediumEdge +8.1%
Our model68.0%
The market59.9%

The market underrated this by 8.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Southampton badge

Southampton

Attack92
Defence90
Form91
Bristol City badge

Bristol City

Attack39
Defence45
Form43

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +3.0%
Our model85.0%
The market82.0%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
1.22

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.1%Correct
Our model68.0%
The market59.9%
Edge
+8.1
Odds
1.67

Draw No Bet

Southampton (DNB)

Edge +8.9%Void
Our model66.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+8.9
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Southampton Win

Edge +12.4%Miss
Our model62.4%
The market50.0%
Edge
+12.4
Odds
2.00

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model55.7%
The market59.9%
Edge
-4.2
Odds
1.67

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.