Championship · 11 April 2026AI PICK
Southamptonvs
Derby
2 - 1Full time · 3 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 54.4%
- Market said
- 50.0%
- Edge
- +4.4 pts
- Best odds
- 2.00
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectSouthampton Win
Match Winner · best price 2.00
The market underrated this by 4.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Double chance : Southampton or draw
How the two sides compared
Southampton
Derby
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 3 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- +18.6
- Odds
- 1.40
Match Winner
Southampton Win
- Edge
- +4.4
- Odds
- 2.00
Draw No Bet
Southampton (DNB)
- Edge
- -12.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 3 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.