Championship · 12 May 2026AI PICK
Southamptonvs
Middlesbrough
2 - 1Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 72.1%
- Market said
- 57.8%
- Edge
- +14.3 pts
- Best odds
- 1.73
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.73
The market underrated this by 14.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Southampton
Middlesbrough
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
5 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +6.9
- Odds
- 1.28
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +14.3
- Odds
- 1.73
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +4.9
- Odds
- 1.62
Draw No Bet
Southampton (DNB)
- Edge
- -0.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Southampton Win
- Edge
- +6.9
- Odds
- 2.00
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- +1.2
- Odds
- 12.96
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
8.9% · actual
3-1
6.8%
2-2
6.7%
We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.