World Cup badgeWorld Cup · 19 July 2026AI PICK

Spain badgeSpainvsArgentina badgeArgentina

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 1 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.6%
Market said
43.5%
Edge
+10.1 pts
Best odds
2.30

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.30

LowEdge +10.1%
Our model53.6%
The market43.5%

The market underrated this by 10.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Spain badge

Spain

Attack63
Defence100
Form82
Argentina badge

Argentina

Attack89
Defence100
Form91

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +0.7%Correct
Our model74.2%
The market73.5%
Edge
+0.7
Odds
1.36

Draw No Bet

Argentina (DNB)

Miss
Our model56.8%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.3
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +10.1%Miss
Our model53.6%
The market43.5%
Edge
+10.1
Odds
2.30

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.5%Miss
Our model52.9%
The market52.4%
Edge
+0.5
Odds
1.91

Match Winner

Argentina Win

Edge +15.0%Miss
Our model42.8%
The market27.8%
Edge
+15.0
Odds
3.60

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.