Tweede Divisie badgeTweede Divisie · 5 September 2026AI PICK

Spakenburg badgeSpakenburgvsBarendrecht badgeBarendrecht

1 - 3
Miss

Full time · 0 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.6%
Market said
37.2%
Edge
+17.4 pts
Best odds
2.69

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: No

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.69

LowEdge +17.4%
Our model54.6%
The market37.2%

The market underrated this by 17.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Spakenburg badge

Spakenburg

Attack34
Defence100
Form58
Barendrecht badge

Barendrecht

Attack27
Defence46
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Miss
Our model73.6%
The market93.5%
Edge
-19.9
Odds
1.07

Draw No Bet

Spakenburg (DNB)

Miss
Our model62.1%
The market80.6%
Edge
-18.5
Odds
1.24

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +17.4%Miss
Our model54.6%
The market37.2%
Edge
+17.4
Odds
2.69

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +24.1%Miss
Our model54.6%
The market30.5%
Edge
+24.1
Odds
3.28

Match Winner

Spakenburg Win

Miss
Our model43.2%
The market72.5%
Edge
-29.3
Odds
1.38

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model11.1%
The market12.7%
Edge
-1.6
Odds
7.86

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

11.1%

1-1

14.4%

0-0

10.7%

We called 0 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.