UEFA Champions League badgeUEFA Champions League · 4 August 2026AI PICK

Sparta Praha badgeSparta PrahavsLyon badgeLyon

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.2%
Market said
52.8%
Edge
+2.4 pts
Best odds
1.86

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.86

MediumEdge +2.4%
Our model55.2%
The market52.8%

The market underrated this by 2.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Sparta Praha badge

Sparta Praha

Attack67
Defence45
Form48
Lyon badge

Lyon

Attack83
Defence38
Form67

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Draw No Bet

Lyon (DNB)

Miss
Our model56.2%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +2.4%Correct
Our model55.2%
The market52.8%
Edge
+2.4
Odds
1.86

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model53.8%
The market56.9%
Edge
-3.1
Odds
1.70

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Our model51.7%
The market80.6%
Edge
-28.9
Odds
1.24

Match Winner

Lyon Win

Miss
Our model33.3%
The market52.9%
Edge
-19.6
Odds
1.89

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.