Sparta Prahavs
Plzen
0 - 0Full time · 0 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 68.9%
- Market said
- 60.6%
- Edge
- +8.3 pts
- Best odds
- 1.65
The call, locked before kick-off
MissOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.65
The market underrated this by 8.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Sparta Praha
Plzen
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
0 of 4 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +3.7
- Odds
- 1.23
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +8.3
- Odds
- 1.65
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +1.4
- Odds
- 1.57
Match Winner
Sparta Praha Win
- Edge
- +13.0
- Odds
- 2.00
Draw No Bet
Sparta Praha (DNB)
- Edge
- -0.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- +1.2
- Odds
- 12.42
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
9.3%
1-0
7.3%
1-1
7.2%
We called 0 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.