First League · 17 August 2026AI PICK
Spartak Kostromavs
FC UFA
1 - 1Full time · 1 of 3 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 57.8%
- Market said
- 44.0%
- Edge
- +13.8 pts
- Best odds
- 2.20
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.20
The market underrated this by 13.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Spartak Kostroma
FC UFA
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 3 right, 1 close
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -14.1
- Odds
- 1.16
Draw No Bet
Spartak Kostroma (DNB)
- Edge
- +4.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +13.8
- Odds
- 2.20
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +6.3
- Odds
- 2.05
Match Winner
Spartak Kostroma Win
- Edge
- -13.1
- Odds
- 1.72
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.4
- Odds
- 9.55
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
9.1%
1-1
10.3% · actual
1-2
6.8%
We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.