Premier League badgePremier League · 11 May 2026AI PICK

Spartak Moscow badgeSpartak MoscowvsRubin badgeRubin

2 - 1
Close

Full time · 3 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
60.9%
Market said
53.2%
Edge
+7.7 pts
Best odds
1.88

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.88

MediumEdge +7.7%
Our model60.9%
The market53.2%

The market underrated this by 7.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Spartak Moscow badge

Spartak Moscow

Attack67
Defence42
Form62
Rubin badge

Rubin

Attack31
Defence100
Form55

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.6%
Our model85.0%
The market79.4%
Edge
+5.6
Odds
1.26

Draw No Bet

Spartak Moscow (DNB)

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model64.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +7.7%Close
Our model60.9%
The market53.2%
Edge
+7.7
Odds
1.88

Match Winner

Spartak Moscow Win

Edge +3.0%Correct
Our model53.0%
The market50.0%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
2.00

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.3%Correct
Our model49.6%
The market49.3%
Edge
+0.3
Odds
2.03

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.9%Miss
Our model14.3%
The market12.4%
Edge
+1.9
Odds
8.04

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

14.3%

2-0

12.1%

2-1

9.7% · actual

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.