Spartak Moscowvs
Rubin
2 - 1Full time · 3 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 60.9%
- Market said
- 53.2%
- Edge
- +7.7 pts
- Best odds
- 1.88
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.88
The market underrated this by 7.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
How the two sides compared
Spartak Moscow
Rubin
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 4 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +5.6
- Odds
- 1.26
Draw No Bet
Spartak Moscow (DNB)
- Edge
- +6.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +7.7
- Odds
- 1.88
Match Winner
Spartak Moscow Win
- Edge
- +3.0
- Odds
- 2.00
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +0.3
- Odds
- 2.03
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- +1.9
- Odds
- 8.04
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
14.3%
2-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7% · actual
We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.